Archive - Guy’s Substack

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (10/24)

A Small But Growing Impact on Initial Claims; No Impact Apparent Yet on Continuing Claims

Oct 24 •

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (10/17)

Claims, Morning Consult

Oct 17 •

A Claims Update!

We have new data, including some from the shutdown period

Oct 10 •

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (10/09)

Claims & Morning Consult

Oct 9 •

We Don't Need More Employment Growth Nowcasts!

Slack Nowcasts Are the Missing Piece

Oct 7 •

The Federal Government Shutdown's Impact on Labor Market

7 Brief Bullets

Oct 3 •

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (10/02)

More labor market cooling on tap

Oct 2 •

On Alternate Indicators

How to Think About ADP, Revelio and the Chicago Fed Nowcast

Oct 1 •

September 2025

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